Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.244100 0.275855 0.309594 0.348049 0.390601 0.436181 0.488633
2025-08-24 0.200025 0.242492 0.290338 0.348021 0.415443 0.491517 0.583597
2025-08-31 0.168134 0.216754 0.274392 0.347291 0.436520 0.541632 0.674229
2025-09-07 0.147508 0.200858 0.267009 0.354244 0.465337 0.601085 0.778380
2025-09-14 0.128567 0.184211 0.256130 0.354657 0.484699 0.648879 0.869992
2025-09-21 0.113355 0.170291 0.246755 0.355222 0.503088 0.695313 0.961348
2025-09-28 0.100904 0.158480 0.238614 0.356004 0.520836 0.740877 1.052966
2025-10-05 0.091778 0.150216 0.234274 0.361085 0.543978 0.794015 1.156491
2025-10-12 0.085202 0.144888 0.233386 0.370529 0.573181 0.856235 1.274682
2025-10-19 0.078014 0.137761 0.229026 0.374198 0.593799 0.906900 1.378482
2025-10-26 0.072539 0.132712 0.227223 0.381243 0.619311 0.965192 1.495073
2025-11-02 0.068574 0.129680 0.228169 0.392300 0.651068 1.033529 1.628549
2025-11-09 0.061947 0.121681 0.220841 0.390328 0.663555 1.075214 1.726742
2025-11-16 0.056312 0.114799 0.214715 0.389722 0.677936 1.120195 1.831637
2025-11-23 0.051208 0.108301 0.208627 0.388599 0.691188 1.163769 1.935955
2025-11-30 0.048029 0.105029 0.207778 0.396087 0.718597 1.230236 2.077855
2025-12-07 0.044087 0.099840 0.203049 0.396443 0.734014 1.278200 2.192504
2025-12-14 0.040573 0.095096 0.198683 0.397010 0.749598 1.326804 2.309714
2025-12-21 0.037438 0.090763 0.194680 0.397841 0.765475 1.376276 2.429866
2025-12-28 0.035167 0.087987 0.193373 0.403421 0.789742 1.440315 2.575727
2026-01-04 0.033623 0.086611 0.194648 0.413811 0.822898 1.520294 2.750360
2026-01-11 0.031512 0.083732 0.192681 0.417845 0.844707 1.581772 2.896217
2026-01-18 0.029940 0.081906 0.192677 0.425597 0.873538 1.656163 3.066042